Over 1.5 goals@1.71
Over 1.5
59%
NGANPFL · Matchday 11Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Rwang Pam Stadium
Plateau United
6th · 16 pts1–1FULL TIME
Warri Wolves
14th · 13 pts48% Plateau
30% Draw
22% Warri
OUR PICK
Plateau United to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.07
Expected goals
1.24 – 0.73
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.07X3.3624.57
Goals 2.5Over2.95Under1.46
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.58
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Under 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.58
NG
63%
Double chance@1.28
1X
78%
Season stats
Plateau UnitedWarri Wolves1.6Goals per game0.6
1.3Conceded per game0.7
1.45Points per game1.18
36%Win rate27%
4Goal difference-1
5Form, last 5 (pts)6
Plateau United form
DDLWLH Warri Wolves1–1
A Katsina United2–2
H Sporting Lagos2–3
H Kano Pillars4–0
A Enyimba2–0
Warri Wolves form
DDDWLA Plateau United1–1
H Kano Pillars0–0
A Enyimba0–0
H Inter Lagos3–1
A Doma United1–0
Head to head
0
Plateau
0
Draw
0
Warri
These sides haven't met recently.
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model makes Plateau United slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.07 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.24 for Plateau United, 0.73 for Warri Wolves), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Plateau United sit 6th on 16 points; Warri Wolves are 14th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.