Over 1.5 goals@1.44
Over 1.5
69%
NGANPFL · Matchday 8Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Rwang Pam Stadium
Plateau United
6th · 16 pts4–0FULL TIME
Kano Pillars
4th · 18 pts29% Plateau
27% Draw
43% Kano
OUR PICK
Kano Pillars to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.31
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.35
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.40X3.6722.31
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.76
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.94
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.94
NG
52%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Plateau UnitedKano Pillars1.6Goals per game1.3
1.3Conceded per game1.0
1.45Points per game1.64
36%Win rate36%
4Goal difference3
5Form, last 5 (pts)8
Plateau United form
DDLWLH Warri Wolves1–1
A Katsina United2–2
H Sporting Lagos2–3
H Kano Pillars4–0
A Enyimba2–0
Kano Pillars form
WDWLDH Nasarawa United2–0
A Warri Wolves0–0
H Katsina United1–0
A Plateau United4–0
A Shooting Stars0–0
Head to head
3
Plateau
0
Draw
2
Kano
Oct 2026Plateau United – Kano Pillars4–0
May 2026Plateau United – Kano Pillars1–0
Dec 2025Kano Pillars – Plateau United2–1
Mar 2025Plateau United – Kano Pillars2–1
Nov 2024Kano Pillars – Plateau United2–1
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model makes Kano Pillars slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.06 for Plateau United, 1.35 for Kano Pillars), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Plateau United sit 6th on 16 points; Kano Pillars are 4th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.