Over 1.5 goals@1.84
Over 1.5
54%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageSaturday, 10 October 2026 · Highmark Stadium
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
5th · 45 pts2–1FULL TIME
Hartford Athletic
6th · 43 pts39% Pittsburgh
32% Draw
29% Hartford
OUR PICK
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.59
Expected goals
1.00 – 0.82
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.59X3.0823.46
Goals 2.5Over3.49Under1.38
Both scoreGG2.70NG1.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Under 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.55
NG
65%
Double chance@1.41
1X
71%
Season stats
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsHartford Athletic1.1Goals per game1.2
1.0Conceded per game1.1
1.50Points per game1.43
43%Win rate33%
3Goal difference2
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
Pittsburgh Riverhounds form
LWDWLA Louisville City1–0
H Birmingham Legion2–1
A Rhode Island1–1
H Hartford Athletic2–1
A Orange County SC1–0
Hartford Athletic form
WWLDLA Detroit City1–2
H Rhode Island2–1
H Brooklyn2–3
H Charleston Battery1–1
A Pittsburgh Riverhounds2–1
Head to head
3
Pittsburgh
2
Draw
0
Hartford
Oct 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Hartford Athletic2–1
Jun 2026Hartford Athletic – Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–0
Nov 2025Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Hartford Athletic0–0
Sept 2025Hartford Athletic – Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–2
Mar 2025Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Hartford Athletic1–0
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes Pittsburgh Riverhounds slight favourites, giving them a 39% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.00 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds, 0.82 for Hartford Athletic), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds sit 5th on 45 points; Hartford Athletic are 6th on 43.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.