Over 1.5 goals@1.50
Over 1.5
66%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageSaturday, 24 October 2026 · Highmark Stadium
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
5th · 45 pts2–1FULL TIME
Birmingham Legion
11th · 30 pts47% Pittsburgh
28% Draw
25% Birmingham
OUR PICK
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.36 – 0.92
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.13X3.6223.94
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.66
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.81
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.81
NG
55%
Double chance@1.34
1X
75%
Season stats
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsBirmingham Legion1.1Goals per game1.3
1.0Conceded per game1.5
1.50Points per game1.00
43%Win rate20%
3Goal difference-6
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
Pittsburgh Riverhounds form
LWDWLA Louisville City1–0
H Birmingham Legion2–1
A Rhode Island1–1
H Hartford Athletic2–1
A Orange County SC1–0
Birmingham Legion form
LWDWLA Pittsburgh Riverhounds2–1
A Brooklyn1–2
H Loudoun United0–0
A Sporting JAX0–1
A Detroit City1–0
Head to head
2
Pittsburgh
2
Draw
1
Birmingham
Oct 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Birmingham Legion2–1
Apr 2026Birmingham Legion – Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0
Aug 2025Birmingham Legion – Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–1
Mar 2025Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Birmingham Legion2–0
Sept 2024Pittsburgh Riverhounds – Birmingham Legion1–1
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes Pittsburgh Riverhounds slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.36 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds, 0.92 for Birmingham Legion), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds sit 5th on 45 points; Birmingham Legion are 11th on 30.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.