Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
ITASerie B · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Pisa
8th · 15 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
Sudtirol
10th · 14 pts47% Pisa
25% Draw
28% Sudtirol
OUR PICK
Pisa to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.15
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.14
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.15X3.9523.55
Goals 2.5Over1.99Under1.89
Both scoreGG1.87NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Over 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.87
GG
53%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
PisaSudtirol1.8Goals per game1.1
1.5Conceded per game1.0
1.50Points per game1.40
40%Win rate30%
3Goal difference1
8Form, last 5 (pts)3
Pisa form
LDDWWA Avellino2–0
H Palermo3–3
A Hellas Verona1–1
H Cremonese3–1
A Vicenza Virtus0–3
Sudtirol form
DLDLDH Cesena1–1
A Padova2–0
H Sampdoria1–1
A Juve Stabia3–0
H Ascoli0–0
Head to head
2
Pisa
2
Draw
1
Sudtirol
May 2025Pisa – Sudtirol3–3
Oct 2024Sudtirol – Pisa1–2
May 2024Pisa – Sudtirol2–2
Nov 2023Sudtirol – Pisa1–2
Feb 2023Pisa – Sudtirol0–1
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Pisa slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.15 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.54 for Pisa, 1.14 for Sudtirol), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Pisa sit 8th on 15 points; Sudtirol are 10th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.