Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
82%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 10Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach
Piast Gliwice
7th · 21 pts2–1FULL TIME
Widzew Łódź
14th · 11 pts51% Piast
23% Draw
26% Widzew
OUR PICK
Piast Gliwice to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.94
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.28
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.94X4.4423.84
Goals 2.5Over1.64Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.29
12
77%
Season stats
Piast GliwiceWidzew Łódź1.8Goals per game1.3
1.5Conceded per game1.5
1.62Points per game0.85
46%Win rate8%
4Goal difference-2
8Form, last 5 (pts)3
Piast Gliwice form
DDWDWA Wisla Plock2–2
H Gornik Zabrze0–0
H Cracovia Krakow3–1
A Gornik Zabrze1–1
H Widzew Łódź2–1
Widzew Łódź form
LDDLDA GKS Katowice3–2
H Gornik Zabrze1–1
H Wisla Krakow0–0
A Piast Gliwice2–1
H Górnik Łęczna2–2
Head to head
1
Piast
0
Draw
4
Widzew
Oct 2026Piast Gliwice – Widzew Łódź2–1
May 2026Widzew Łódź – Piast Gliwice2–1
Nov 2025Piast Gliwice – Widzew Łódź0–2
Jul 2025Widzew Łódź – Piast Gliwice1–0
Mar 2025Piast Gliwice – Widzew Łódź0–2
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin12+824
5Zaglebie Lubin13+122
6GKS Katowice13+621
7Piast Gliwice13+421
8Wisla Krakow13+221
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce13-518
Match preview
Our model makes Piast Gliwice slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.94 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.88 for Piast Gliwice, 1.28 for Widzew Łódź), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Piast Gliwice sit 7th on 21 points; Widzew Łódź are 14th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.