Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 12Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach
Piast Gliwice
7th · 21 pts3–1FULL TIME
Cracovia Krakow
13th · 12 pts54% Piast
22% Draw
23% Cracovia
OUR PICK
Piast Gliwice to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.17
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.84X4.4724.29
Goals 2.5Over1.69Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
59%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
Piast GliwiceCracovia Krakow1.8Goals per game1.2
1.5Conceded per game1.6
1.62Points per game0.92
46%Win rate23%
4Goal difference-6
8Form, last 5 (pts)4
Piast Gliwice form
DDWDWA Wisla Plock2–2
H Gornik Zabrze0–0
H Cracovia Krakow3–1
A Gornik Zabrze1–1
H Widzew Łódź2–1
Cracovia Krakow form
LLDWLH Motor Lublin1–2
A Piast Gliwice3–1
H Legia Warszawa1–1
H Zaglebie Lubin3–1
H Nieciecza2–3
Head to head
2
Piast
3
Draw
0
Cracovia
Oct 2026Piast Gliwice – Cracovia Krakow3–1
Feb 2026Cracovia Krakow – Piast Gliwice2–3
Aug 2025Piast Gliwice – Cracovia Krakow0–0
Dec 2024Piast Gliwice – Cracovia Krakow0–0
Jul 2024Cracovia Krakow – Piast Gliwice1–1
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin12+824
5Zaglebie Lubin13+122
6GKS Katowice13+621
7Piast Gliwice13+421
8Wisla Krakow13+221
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce13-518
Match preview
Our model makes Piast Gliwice clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.84 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.90 for Piast Gliwice, 1.17 for Cracovia Krakow), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Piast Gliwice sit 7th on 21 points; Cracovia Krakow are 13th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.