Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · ABAX Stadium
Peterborough
22nd · 10 pts0–2FULL TIME
Luton
4th · 23 pts22% Peterborough
22% Draw
56% Luton
OUR PICK
Luton to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.78
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.98
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.51X4.6121.78
Goals 2.5Over1.64Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.68NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.68
GG
59%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
PeterboroughLuton0.8Goals per game2.0
1.8Conceded per game1.5
0.77Points per game1.77
15%Win rate54%
-12Goal difference6
5Form, last 5 (pts)12
Peterborough form
No recent matches.
Luton form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Peterborough
0
Draw
0
Luton
These sides haven't met recently.
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday12+819
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Luton clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.78 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.17 for Peterborough, 1.98 for Luton), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Peterborough sit 22nd on 10 points; Luton are 4th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.