Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
77%
AUSA-League · Matchday 3Sunday, 1 November 2026 · HBF Park
Perth Glory
12th · 0 pts4–0FULL TIME
Adelaide United
11th · 0 pts42% Perth
25% Draw
33% Adelaide
OUR PICK
Perth Glory to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.39
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.32
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.39X4.0023.01
Goals 2.5Over1.86Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.75NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.75
GG
57%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Perth GloryAdelaide United1.0Goals per game1.0
2.0Conceded per game2.0
0.00Points per game0.00
0%Win rate0%
-2Goal difference-1
0Form, last 5 (pts)0
Perth Glory form
No recent matches.
Adelaide United form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Perth
0
Draw
0
Adelaide
These sides haven't met recently.
A-League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix3+69
2Western Sydney Wanderers3+35
3Macarthur3+15
4Brisbane Roar2+14
5Sydney304
6Auckland3-14
7Melbourne City3-14
8Melbourne Victory3-12
9Central Coast Mariners3-22
10Newcastle Jets3-32
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Perth Glory 42%, the draw 25%, Adelaide United 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.39 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.51 for Perth Glory, 1.32 for Adelaide United), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Perth Glory sit 12th on 0 points; Adelaide United are 11th on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.