Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
NEDEredivisie · Matchday 9Sunday, 18 October 2026 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle
14th · 11 pts4–1FULL TIME
GO Ahead Eagles
10th · 14 pts26% PEC
21% Draw
53% GO
OUR PICK
GO Ahead Eagles to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.43 – 2.10
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.84X4.7521.89
Goals 2.5Over1.46Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.50NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.50
GG
67%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
PEC ZwolleGO Ahead Eagles1.1Goals per game2.1
2.1Conceded per game2.5
1.00Points per game1.27
27%Win rate27%
-11Goal difference-4
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
PEC Zwolle form
WLDWLH ADO Den Haag1–0
H FC OSS1–2
A Utrecht1–1
H GO Ahead Eagles4–1
H Cambuur0–1
GO Ahead Eagles form
LWWLDA Cambuur4–0
A Koninklijke HFC0–5
H Telstar3–2
A PEC Zwolle4–1
H Sparta Rotterdam3–3
Head to head
1
PEC
2
Draw
2
GO
Oct 2026PEC Zwolle – GO Ahead Eagles4–1
Apr 2026GO Ahead Eagles – PEC Zwolle5–0
Sept 2025PEC Zwolle – GO Ahead Eagles0–2
May 2025PEC Zwolle – GO Ahead Eagles1–1
Nov 2024GO Ahead Eagles – PEC Zwolle2–2
Eredivisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
Match preview
Our model makes GO Ahead Eagles slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.89 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.43 for PEC Zwolle, 2.10 for GO Ahead Eagles), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
PEC Zwolle sit 14th on 11 points; GO Ahead Eagles are 10th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.