Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
90%
NEDEredivisie · Matchday 8Sunday, 11 October 2026 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle
14th · 11 pts0–1FULL TIME
Cambuur
9th · 15 pts33% PEC
21% Draw
47% Cambuur
OUR PICK
Cambuur to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.15
Expected goals
1.74 – 2.10
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.07X4.7822.15
Goals 2.5Over1.36Under3.63
Both scoreGG1.38NG3.37
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.36
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.38
GG
72%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
PEC ZwolleCambuur1.1Goals per game2.1
2.1Conceded per game2.0
1.00Points per game1.36
27%Win rate36%
-11Goal difference1
7Form, last 5 (pts)11
PEC Zwolle form
WLDWLH ADO Den Haag1–0
H FC OSS1–2
A Utrecht1–1
H GO Ahead Eagles4–1
H Cambuur0–1
Cambuur form
WWWDWH GO Ahead Eagles4–0
A Kloetinge0–2
A Willem II1–6
H AZ Alkmaar2–2
A PEC Zwolle0–1
Head to head
0
PEC
0
Draw
0
Cambuur
These sides haven't met recently.
Eredivisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
Match preview
Our model makes Cambuur slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.15 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (1.74 for PEC Zwolle, 2.10 for Cambuur), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
PEC Zwolle sit 14th on 11 points; Cambuur are 9th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.