Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
NEDEredivisie · Matchday 11Sunday, 1 November 2026 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle
14th · 11 pts1–0FULL TIME
ADO Den Haag
17th · 6 pts44% PEC
24% Draw
31% ADO
OUR PICK
PEC Zwolle to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.32
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.25X4.1223.20
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag1.1Goals per game1.2
2.1Conceded per game2.2
1.00Points per game0.55
27%Win rate9%
-11Goal difference-11
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
PEC Zwolle form
WLDWLH ADO Den Haag1–0
H FC OSS1–2
A Utrecht1–1
H GO Ahead Eagles4–1
H Cambuur0–1
ADO Den Haag form
LDLWDA PEC Zwolle1–0
A Excelsior '311–1
H Heerenveen2–3
H PSV Eindhoven2–1
A Telstar2–2
Head to head
2
PEC
0
Draw
3
ADO
Nov 2026PEC Zwolle – ADO Den Haag1–0
Feb 2023ADO Den Haag – PEC Zwolle3–1
Sept 2022PEC Zwolle – ADO Den Haag1–2
May 2021PEC Zwolle – ADO Den Haag0–1
Dec 2020ADO Den Haag – PEC Zwolle0–2
Eredivisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Feyenoord11+2125
2Ajax11+1724
3PSV Eindhoven11+2223
4Twente11+1823
5AZ Alkmaar11+720
6Fortuna Sittard11019
7Heerenveen11+618
8Groningen11+215
9Cambuur11+115
10GO Ahead Eagles11-414
Match preview
Our model makes PEC Zwolle slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.62 for PEC Zwolle, 1.32 for ADO Den Haag), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
PEC Zwolle sit 14th on 11 points; ADO Den Haag are 17th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.