Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 8Friday, 9 October 2026 · Nouste Camp
PAU
5th · 20 pts3–2FULL TIME
Laval
16th · 9 pts61% PAU
22% Draw
17% Laval
OUR PICK
PAU to win
Model probability 61% · fair odds
1.65
Expected goals
1.83 – 0.85
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.65X4.4525.88
Goals 2.5Over2.00Under1.89
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@2.00
Over 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.93
NG
52%
Double chance@1.20
1X
83%
Season stats
PAULaval1.5Goals per game1.3
1.0Conceded per game1.9
1.82Points per game0.82
55%Win rate18%
5Goal difference-7
15Form, last 5 (pts)5
PAU form
WWWWWA Metz1–3
H Grenoble2–1
A Guingamp1–2
H Laval3–2
A Toulouse2–3
Laval form
WLDLWH Boulogne1–0
A Nancy1–0
H Clermont Foot3–3
A PAU3–2
H Rennes1–0
Head to head
3
PAU
1
Draw
1
Laval
Oct 2026PAU – Laval3–2
Jan 2026Laval – PAU0–1
Sept 2025PAU – Laval1–0
Jan 2025PAU – Laval1–1
Sept 2024Laval – PAU3–1
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3Nancy11+722
4Reims11+1021
5PAU11+520
6RED Star FC 9311-217
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes PAU clear favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.65 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.83 for PAU, 0.85 for Laval), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
PAU sit 5th on 20 points; Laval are 16th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.