Over 1.5 goals@1.82
Over 1.5
55%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 35Sunday, 25 October 2026
Patronato
0–2FULL TIME
Agropecuario
43% Patronato
32% Draw
25% Agropecuario
OUR PICK
Patronato to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.31
Expected goals
1.09 – 0.75
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.31X3.1524.01
Goals 2.5Over3.37Under1.39
Both scoreGG2.70NG1.54
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.39
Under 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.54
NG
65%
Double chance@1.33
1X
75%
Patronato form
LLWLWH Agropecuario0–2
A Tristan Suarez1–0
H Club Atlético Güemes2–0
A Chacarita Juniors1–0
H San Martin S.J.3–0
Agropecuario form
WWLWDH Almagro2–1
A Patronato0–2
H Colegiales0–3
A Quilmes0–1
H Midland0–0
Head to head
1
Patronato
2
Draw
2
Agropecuario
Oct 2026Patronato – Agropecuario0–2
Jun 2026Agropecuario – Patronato1–1
Jun 2024Patronato – Agropecuario4–0
Feb 2024Agropecuario – Patronato1–0
Oct 2023Patronato – Agropecuario1–1
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes35+149
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Patronato slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.09 for Patronato, 0.75 for Agropecuario), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.