Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
BELChallenger Pro League · Matchday 7Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Patrostadion
Patro Eisden
7th · 12 pts1–0FULL TIME
KRC Genk II
11th · 9 pts47% Patro
21% Draw
31% KRC
OUR PICK
Patro Eisden to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.11
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.62
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.11X4.6823.21
Goals 2.5Over1.42Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.44NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.44
GG
70%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
Patro EisdenKRC Genk II1.6Goals per game1.4
1.7Conceded per game1.8
1.33Points per game1.00
44%Win rate22%
-1Goal difference-3
9Form, last 5 (pts)3
Patro Eisden form
WWLWWH Lokeren-Temse3–1
A Liège2–3
A KVC Westerlo2–0
H KRC Genk II1–0
A Roeselare Daisel1–2
KRC Genk II form
DDLDLA Dender1–1
H Club Brugge II0–0
A Patro Eisden1–0
H Seraing United2–2
A Excelsior Virton3–0
Head to head
4
Patro
1
Draw
0
KRC
Oct 2026Patro Eisden – KRC Genk II1–0
Feb 2026Patro Eisden – KRC Genk II4–4
Sept 2025KRC Genk II – Patro Eisden1–4
Feb 2025Patro Eisden – KRC Genk II1–0
Dec 2024KRC Genk II – Patro Eisden1–3
Challenger Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Beerschot VA9+1624
2Dender8+919
3AS Eupen8+615
4Sporting Hasselt8-115
5Excelsior Virton8+413
6Lokeren-Temse8+213
7Patro Eisden9-112
8Francs Borains7-112
9KAA Gent II8-211
10Club Brugge II8-39
Match preview
Our model makes Patro Eisden slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.11 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.03 for Patro Eisden, 1.62 for KRC Genk II), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Patro Eisden sit 7th on 12 points; KRC Genk II are 11th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.