Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 8Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Arena e Demave
Partizani
10th · 7 pts0–2FULL TIME
Skenderbeu Korce
7th · 11 pts38% Partizani
25% Draw
37% Skenderbeu
OUR PICK
Partizani to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.63
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.39
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.63X3.9622.72
Goals 2.5Over1.88Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.76NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.88
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.76
GG
57%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
PartizaniSkenderbeu Korce1.1Goals per game1.1
2.1Conceded per game1.2
0.70Points per game1.10
20%Win rate20%
-10Goal difference-1
3Form, last 5 (pts)8
Partizani form
WLLLLA Teuta Durrës0–1
A AF Elbasani2–1
H Skenderbeu Korce0–2
A Vora4–1
H Tirana1–3
Skenderbeu Korce form
DDWWLH Vllaznia Shkodër1–1
H Laci1–1
A Partizani0–2
H AF Elbasani2–1
A Teuta Durrës2–0
Head to head
3
Partizani
1
Draw
1
Skenderbeu
Oct 2026Partizani – Skenderbeu Korce0–2
Jul 2026Skenderbeu Korce – Partizani0–2
Mar 2025Skenderbeu Korce – Partizani1–2
Jan 2025Partizani – Skenderbeu Korce1–1
Oct 2024Skenderbeu Korce – Partizani0–2
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë10+1124
2Teuta Durrës10+1020
3Dinamo Tirana10+317
4AF Elbasani10+114
5Tirana10-112
6Vora10-412
7Skenderbeu Korce10-111
8Laci10-411
9Vllaznia Shkodër10-59
10Partizani10-107
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Partizani 38%, the draw 25%, Skenderbeu Korce 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.63 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.42 for Partizani, 1.39 for Skenderbeu Korce), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Partizani sit 10th on 7 points; Skenderbeu Korce are 7th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.