Over 1.5 goals@1.59
Over 1.5
63%
SCOChampionship · Matchday 9Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Firhill Stadium
Partick
1st · 25 pts3–0FULL TIME
Arbroath
8th · 11 pts70% Partick
22% Draw
8% Arbroath
OUR PICK
Partick to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.43
Expected goals
1.72 – 0.41
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.43X4.57212.13
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.56
Both scoreGG3.37NG1.38
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.56
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.38
NG
72%
Double chance@1.09
1X
92%
Season stats
PartickArbroath1.3Goals per game0.5
0.5Conceded per game1.7
1.92Points per game0.85
54%Win rate23%
10Goal difference-15
10Form, last 5 (pts)0
Partick form
LWDWWH Morton2–3
H Stenhousemuir3–0
A Dunfermline1–1
A Ayr Utd0–1
A Livingston1–2
Arbroath form
LLLLLH Raith Rovers0–4
A Livingston1–0
A Inverness CT2–0
H Morton1–2
A Partick3–0
Head to head
1
Partick
3
Draw
1
Arbroath
Oct 2026Partick – Arbroath3–0
Apr 2026Arbroath – Partick0–0
Feb 2026Partick – Arbroath0–0
Dec 2025Arbroath – Partick2–1
Oct 2025Partick – Arbroath1–1
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Partick13+1025
2Raith Rovers13+1124
3Dunfermline13+824
4Stenhousemuir13+123
5Livingston13+720
6Inverness CT13+119
7Ayr Utd12-115
8Arbroath13-1511
9Morton12-810
10Queen's Park13-147
Match preview
Our model makes Partick clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.72 for Partick, 0.41 for Arbroath), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Partick sit 1st on 25 points; Arbroath are 8th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.