Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 11Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Letni Stadion
Pardubice
12th · 14 pts3–0FULL TIME
Zlin
16th · 3 pts50% Pardubice
25% Draw
24% Zlin
OUR PICK
Pardubice to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
1.99
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.02
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.99X3.9724.09
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.93
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.97
GG
51%
Double chance@1.32
1X
76%
Season stats
PardubiceZlin1.2Goals per game0.8
1.5Conceded per game2.0
1.08Points per game0.23
31%Win rate0%
-4Goal difference-15
9Form, last 5 (pts)3
Pardubice form
LWWWLH Slovan Liberec1–2
A Slovácko1–4
A Plzen1–2
H Zlin3–0
A Sparta Praha2–0
Zlin form
DDLLLA Artis2–2
H Sigma Olomouc1–1
A Pardubice3–0
H Slavia Praha0–1
H Prostějov1–2
Head to head
3
Pardubice
2
Draw
0
Zlin
Oct 2026Pardubice – Zlin3–0
Apr 2026Pardubice – Zlin3–1
Oct 2025Zlin – Pardubice2–2
May 2024Pardubice – Zlin2–0
Apr 2024Zlin – Pardubice1–1
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Slovan Liberec12+723
5Sparta Praha12+1222
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190511016
Match preview
Our model makes Pardubice slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.99 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.58 for Pardubice, 1.02 for Zlin), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Pardubice sit 12th on 14 points; Zlin are 16th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.