Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
85%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 9Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Toumba Stadium
PAOK
5th · 15 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Asteras Tripolis
11th · 6 pts71% PAOK
17% Draw
12% Asteras
OUR PICK
PAOK to win
Model probability 71% · fair odds
1.41
Expected goals
2.47 – 0.93
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.41X5.9628.16
Goals 2.5Over1.52Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.80NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.52
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.80
GG
55%
Double chance@1.14
1X
88%
Season stats
PAOKAsteras Tripolis2.0Goals per game0.9
1.4Conceded per game1.9
1.88Points per game0.75
63%Win rate13%
5Goal difference-8
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
PAOK form
WLWLWH AEK Athens FC3–1
A OFI2–1
H Iraklis 19082–1
H Kalamata1–3
A Panetolikos1–3
Asteras Tripolis form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
PAOK
0
Draw
0
Asteras
These sides haven't met recently.
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
2Panathinaikos8+1421
3AEK Athens FC7+1817
4Aris Thessalonikis8-116
5PAOK8+515
6OFI8+113
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos8-89
Match preview
Our model makes PAOK clear favourites, giving them a 71% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.41 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.47 for PAOK, 0.93 for Asteras Tripolis), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
PAOK sit 5th on 15 points; Asteras Tripolis are 11th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.