Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Olympic Stadium of Athens
Panathinaikos
1st · 6 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
CSKA Sofia
23rd · 1 pts69% Panathinaikos
16% Draw
15% CSKA
OUR PICK
Panathinaikos to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.45
Expected goals
2.69 – 1.19
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.45X6.1026.82
Goals 2.5Over1.35Under3.63
Both scoreGG1.54NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.35
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.54
GG
65%
Double chance@1.17
1X
85%
Season stats
PanathinaikosCSKA Sofia3.5Goals per game1.5
1.0Conceded per game2.0
3.00Points per game0.50
100%Win rate0%
5Goal difference-1
6Form, last 5 (pts)1
Panathinaikos form
WWWWWH AEK Athens FC2–0
H Aris Thessalonikis2–1
A Volos NFC0–1
A Kairat Almaty1–5
H Asteras Tripolis5–1
CSKA Sofia form
DWDWLH Slavia Sofia0–0
H Ludogorets2–0
A FC Nordsjaelland2–2
A Nesebar0–2
H Monaco1–2
Head to head
0
Panathinaikos
0
Draw
0
CSKA
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model makes Panathinaikos clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (2.69 for Panathinaikos, 1.19 for CSKA Sofia), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Panathinaikos sit 1st on 6 points; CSKA Sofia are 23rd on 1.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.