Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 9Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium
Panathinaikos
2nd · 21 pts18:30KICK-OFF WAT
AEK Athens FC
3rd · 17 pts36% Panathinaikos
27% Draw
36% AEK
OUR PICK
Panathinaikos to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.75
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.23
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.75X3.6722.75
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.80
Both scoreGG2.00NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@2.00
GG
50%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
PanathinaikosAEK Athens FC2.3Goals per game3.0
0.5Conceded per game0.4
2.63Points per game2.43
88%Win rate71%
14Goal difference18
12Form, last 5 (pts)13
Panathinaikos form
No recent matches.
AEK Athens FC form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Panathinaikos
0
Draw
0
AEK
These sides haven't met recently.
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
2Panathinaikos8+1421
3AEK Athens FC7+1817
4Aris Thessalonikis8-116
5PAOK8+515
6OFI8+113
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos8-89
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Panathinaikos 36%, the draw 27%, AEK Athens FC 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.75 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.23 for Panathinaikos, 1.23 for AEK Athens FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Panathinaikos sit 2nd on 21 points; AEK Athens FC are 3rd on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.