Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
BRASerie A · Matchday 34Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Nubank Parque
Palmeiras
2nd · 70 pts23:30KICK-OFF WAT
Remo
19th · 29 pts74% Palmeiras
18% Draw
8% Remo
OUR PICK
Palmeiras to win
Model probability 74% · fair odds
1.35
Expected goals
2.12 – 0.55
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.35X5.65212.01
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under1.99
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.59
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.59
NG
63%
Double chance@1.09
1X
92%
Season stats
PalmeirasRemo1.7Goals per game1.1
0.7Conceded per game1.5
2.12Points per game0.88
61%Win rate18%
34Goal difference-15
13Form, last 5 (pts)6
Palmeiras form
WDWLWH Vasco DA Gama1–0
A Santos0–0
H RB Bragantino2–0
H Fluminense0–1
A Atletico Paranaense0–2
Remo form
WLDDDH Botafogo2–1
A Cruzeiro1–0
H RB Bragantino1–1
A Vasco DA Gama0–0
H Gremio1–1
Head to head
0
Palmeiras
1
Draw
0
Remo
May 2026Remo – Palmeiras1–1
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Flamengo33+4073
2Palmeiras33+3470
3Cruzeiro33+657
4Fluminense33+1054
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054
6Bahia33+653
7Atletico-MG33+550
8RB Bragantino34+547
9Santos34+147
10Sao Paulo33043
Match preview
Our model makes Palmeiras clear favourites, giving them a 74% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.35 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (2.12 for Palmeiras, 0.55 for Remo), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Palmeiras sit 2nd on 70 points; Remo are 19th on 29.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.