Over 1.5 goals@1.18
Over 1.5
85%
CHIPrimera División · Matchday 25Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Municipal de La Cisterna
Palestino
5th · 38 pts1–1FULL TIME
Colo Colo
1st · 58 pts28% Palestino
22% Draw
49% Colo
OUR PICK
Colo Colo to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.02
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.93
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.52X4.5222.02
Goals 2.5Over1.54Under2.70
Both scoreGG1.54NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.54
Over 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.54
GG
65%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
PalestinoColo Colo1.6Goals per game2.2
1.4Conceded per game1.1
1.52Points per game2.23
44%Win rate69%
3Goal difference28
5Form, last 5 (pts)6
Palestino form
DDWLWH Colo Colo1–1
A Deportes Limache2–2
A Alianza Lima1–2
H U. Catolica2–3
H Universidad de Concepcion2–1
Colo Colo form
WDLWWH Universidad de Concepcion6–1
A Palestino1–1
A Coquimbo Unido5–2
A D. Puerto Montt0–1
H A. Italiano1–0
Head to head
1
Palestino
3
Draw
1
Colo
Oct 2026Palestino – Colo Colo1–1
Apr 2026Colo Colo – Palestino0–1
Aug 2025Palestino – Colo Colo0–0
Mar 2025Colo Colo – Palestino1–1
Oct 2024Palestino – Colo Colo2–3
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Colo Colo26+2858
2Universidad de Chile26+2448
3U. Catolica26+1646
4Everton de Vina26+1040
5Palestino25+338
6Deportes Limache25+937
7Coquimbo Unido25+335
8Nublense26-935
9D. La Serena26-334
10Huachipato25-633
Match preview
Our model makes Colo Colo slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.02 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.42 for Palestino, 1.93 for Colo Colo), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Palestino sit 5th on 38 points; Colo Colo are 1st on 58.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.