Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
ITASerie B · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Renzo Barbera
Palermo
1st · 23 pts19:30KICK-OFF WAT
Vicenza Virtus
16th · 9 pts74% Palermo
14% Draw
12% Vicenza
OUR PICK
Palermo to win
Model probability 74% · fair odds
1.35
Expected goals
2.93 – 1.12
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.35X6.9428.60
Goals 2.5Over1.30Under4.10
Both scoreGG1.57NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.30
Over 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.57
GG
64%
Double chance@1.13
1X
88%
Season stats
PalermoVicenza Virtus2.3Goals per game1.3
1.2Conceded per game1.9
2.56Points per game1.00
78%Win rate22%
10Goal difference-5
13Form, last 5 (pts)4
Palermo form
No recent matches.
Vicenza Virtus form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Palermo
0
Draw
0
Vicenza
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo9+1023
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli9+1018
4Mantova10+418
5Pisa9+515
6Benevento10+415
7Padova10-114
8Sudtirol10+114
9Hellas Verona9+312
10Avellino9+312
Match preview
Our model makes Palermo clear favourites, giving them a 74% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.35 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (2.93 for Palermo, 1.12 for Vicenza Virtus), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Palermo sit 1st on 23 points; Vicenza Virtus are 16th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.