Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
HUNNB I · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026
Paks
6th · 17 pts13:30KICK-OFF WAT
Zalaegerszegi TE
9th · 13 pts58% Paks
20% Draw
22% Zalaegerszegi
OUR PICK
Paks to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
2.29 – 1.38
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.73X5.0624.46
Goals 2.5Over1.41Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.49NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.41
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.49
GG
67%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
PaksZalaegerszegi TE1.8Goals per game1.3
1.8Conceded per game1.8
1.42Points per game1.08
42%Win rate33%
1Goal difference-6
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
Paks form
LWWLWA Ferencvarosi TC2–0
A Cigand SE1–2
A Vasas0–2
H Gyori ETO FC1–2
H MTK Budapest3–0
Zalaegerszegi TE form
WWDLWH MTK Budapest3–0
H Gyori ETO FC3–1
H Kisvarda FC1–1
A Debreceni VSC3–0
H Nyiregyhaza5–1
Head to head
1
Paks
2
Draw
2
Zalaegerszegi
Aug 2026Zalaegerszegi TE – Paks5–2
Mar 2026Paks – Zalaegerszegi TE1–1
Nov 2025Zalaegerszegi TE – Paks1–0
Aug 2025Paks – Zalaegerszegi TE2–2
Apr 2025Paks – Zalaegerszegi TE2–1
NB I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Gyori ETO FC12+722
2Puskas Academy12+221
3Ferencvarosi TC11+1020
4Debreceni VSC12+419
5Ujpest12+318
6Paks12+117
7Vasas12+316
8Budapest Honved11-313
9Zalaegerszegi TE12-613
10Kisvarda FC12-212
Match preview
Our model makes Paks clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.73 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (2.29 for Paks, 1.38 for Zalaegerszegi TE), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Paks sit 6th on 17 points; Zalaegerszegi TE are 9th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.