HUNNB I · Matchday 10Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Fehérvári úti stadion

Paks

6th · 17 pts

1–2FULL TIME

Gyori ETO FC

1st · 22 pts

40% Paks

23% Draw

38% Gyori

OUR PICK

Paks to win

Model probability 40% · fair odds

2.52

Expected goals

1.71 – 1.66

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.52X4.3922.66

Goals 2.5Over1.53Under2.70

Both scoreGG1.51NG2.77

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.18

Over 1.5

85%

Over/Under 2.5@1.53

Over 2.5

65%

Both teams to score@1.51

66%

Double chance@1.29

77%

Season stats

PaksGyori ETO FC

1.8Goals per game1.8

1.8Conceded per game1.2

1.42Points per game1.83

42%Win rate50%

1Goal difference7

9Form, last 5 (pts)10

Paks form

LWWLW

A Ferencvarosi TC2–0

A Cigand SE1–2

A Vasas0–2

H Gyori ETO FC1–2

H MTK Budapest3–0

Gyori ETO FC form

DLWWL

H Vasas2–2

A Zalaegerszegi TE3–1

H Ujpest1–0

A Paks1–2

H Puskas Academy0–1

Head to head

Paks

Draw

Gyori

Oct 2026Paks – Gyori ETO FC1–2

Feb 2026Paks – Gyori ETO FC3–4

Nov 2025Gyori ETO FC – Paks0–0

Jul 2025Paks – Gyori ETO FC3–3

Apr 2025Gyori ETO FC – Paks2–0

NB I table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Gyori ETO FC12+722

2Puskas Academy12+221

3Ferencvarosi TC11+1020

4Debreceni VSC12+419

5Ujpest12+318

6Paks12+117

7Vasas12+316

8Budapest Honved11-313

9Zalaegerszegi TE12-613

10Kisvarda FC12-212

Match preview

Our model sees little between the sides: Paks 40%, the draw 23%, Gyori ETO FC 38%.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.71 for Paks, 1.66 for Gyori ETO FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Paks sit 6th on 17 points; Gyori ETO FC are 1st on 22.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

Discuss on Telegram More NB I tips