Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
74%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 12Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Kassam Stadium
Oxford United
3rd · 23 pts2–1FULL TIME
Wigan
21st · 10 pts69% Oxford
20% Draw
11% Wigan
OUR PICK
Oxford United to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.44
Expected goals
2.01 – 0.65
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.44X5.1029.09
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under1.98
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.71
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.71
NG
59%
Double chance@1.12
1X
89%
Season stats
Oxford UnitedWigan1.7Goals per game0.8
0.9Conceded per game1.7
1.92Points per game0.77
50%Win rate23%
9Goal difference-11
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
Oxford United form
DWDWDA Barnsley1–1
H Stockport County1–0
H Bradford0–0
H Wigan2–1
A Mansfield Town1–1
Wigan form
WLLLWH Bromley3–2
A Leicester3–0
A Huddersfield2–1
A Oxford United2–1
H Reading1–0
Head to head
2
Oxford
1
Draw
2
Wigan
Oct 2026Oxford United – Wigan2–1
Feb 2024Oxford United – Wigan4–2
Oct 2023Wigan – Oxford United2–0
Feb 2022Wigan – Oxford United1–1
Dec 2021Oxford United – Wigan2–3
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Oxford United clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (2.01 for Oxford United, 0.65 for Wigan), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Oxford United sit 3rd on 23 points; Wigan are 21st on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.