Over 1.5 goals@1.81
Over 1.5
55%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 13Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kassam Stadium
Oxford United
3rd · 23 pts0–0FULL TIME
Bradford
7th · 22 pts47% Oxford
31% Draw
22% Bradford
OUR PICK
Oxford United to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.16 – 0.69
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.13X3.2224.56
Goals 2.5Over3.37Under1.39
Both scoreGG2.77NG1.52
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.39
Under 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.52
NG
66%
Double chance@1.28
1X
78%
Season stats
Oxford UnitedBradford1.7Goals per game0.8
0.9Conceded per game0.6
1.92Points per game1.69
50%Win rate46%
9Goal difference2
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
Oxford United form
DWDWDA Barnsley1–1
H Stockport County1–0
H Bradford0–0
H Wigan2–1
A Mansfield Town1–1
Bradford form
LWDDWH Huddersfield0–3
H Peterborough2–0
A Oxford United0–0
A Burton Albion0–0
H Stevenage2–0
Head to head
0
Oxford
0
Draw
0
Bradford
These sides haven't met recently.
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Oxford United slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.16 for Oxford United, 0.69 for Bradford), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Oxford United sit 3rd on 23 points; Bradford are 7th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.