Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 28Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Jämtkraft Arena
Ostersunds FK
4th · 48 pts4–1FULL TIME
United Nordic
8th · 42 pts49% Ostersunds
26% Draw
25% United
OUR PICK
Ostersunds FK to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.04
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.00
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.04X3.8623.99
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.85
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.97
NG
51%
Double chance@1.33
1X
75%
Season stats
Ostersunds FKUnited Nordic1.3Goals per game1.6
1.0Conceded per game1.7
1.66Points per game1.45
41%Win rate38%
9Goal difference-4
6Form, last 5 (pts)6
Ostersunds FK form
LWDDLA IFK Norrkoping3–0
H United Nordic4–1
A Sandviken0–0
H Varbergs BoIS FC1–1
A Rosenborg2–0
United Nordic form
WLWLDH GIF Sundsvall4–2
A Ostersunds FK4–1
H Norrby IF2–1
A Oddevold2–0
A Orebro SK1–1
Head to head
1
Ostersunds
1
Draw
0
United
Oct 2026Ostersunds FK – United Nordic4–1
Jun 2026United Nordic – Ostersunds FK1–1
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Landskrona BoIS29+1447
6Oddevold29+1245
7Osters IF29+445
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes Ostersunds FK slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.04 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.51 for Ostersunds FK, 1.00 for United Nordic), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Ostersunds FK sit 4th on 48 points; United Nordic are 8th on 42.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.