Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
ESPLa Liga · Matchday 9Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna
15th · 11 pts2–0FULL TIME
Racing Santander
16th · 11 pts41% Osasuna
22% Draw
37% Racing
OUR PICK
Osasuna to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.43
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.78
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.43X4.6022.69
Goals 2.5Over1.41Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.42NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.41
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.42
GG
70%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
OsasunaRacing Santander1.0Goals per game1.4
2.0Conceded per game2.6
1.00Points per game1.00
27%Win rate27%
-11Goal difference-14
4Form, last 5 (pts)4
Osasuna form
LWLWLA Deportivo La Coruna2–1
A Atletico Calatayud0–6
A Sevilla2–0
H Racing Santander2–0
A Real Betis5–2
Racing Santander form
LWWLDH Real Madrid0–3
A Ribadesella CF0–2
H Espanyol2–1
A Osasuna2–0
H Valencia2–2
Head to head
3
Osasuna
0
Draw
2
Racing
Oct 2026Osasuna – Racing Santander2–0
Jul 2026Osasuna – Racing Santander2–0
Aug 2025Osasuna – Racing Santander0–1
May 2012Racing Santander – Osasuna2–4
Jan 2012Osasuna – Racing Santander0–2
La Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid11+1827
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad11019
6Sevilla11-217
7Athletic Club10+415
8Deportivo La Coruna11+114
9Villarreal11012
10Celta Vigo11012
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Osasuna 41%, the draw 22%, Racing Santander 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (1.88 for Osasuna, 1.78 for Racing Santander), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Osasuna sit 15th on 11 points; Racing Santander are 16th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.