Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 8Friday, 16 October 2026 · Corum Stadyumu
Çorum FK
7th · 16 pts2–1FULL TIME
Rizespor
13th · 11 pts58% Çorum
21% Draw
21% Rizespor
OUR PICK
Çorum FK to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
2.11 – 1.19
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.71X4.8324.78
Goals 2.5Over1.56Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.64NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.56
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.64
GG
61%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
Çorum FKRizespor2.1Goals per game1.1
1.6Conceded per game1.5
1.60Points per game1.10
50%Win rate30%
5Goal difference-4
9Form, last 5 (pts)2
Çorum FK form
WLWWLA Erzurumspor FK1–3
A Göztepe2–0
H Rizespor2–1
A Gaziantep FK0–3
H Alanyaspor1–2
Rizespor form
DLLLWA Kocaelispor0–0
H Trabzonspor3–4
A Çorum FK2–1
H Fenerbahçe0–3
H Boluspor3–0
Head to head
1
Çorum
0
Draw
0
Rizespor
Oct 2026Çorum FK – Rizespor2–1
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Çorum FK clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (2.11 for Çorum FK, 1.19 for Rizespor), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Çorum FK sit 7th on 16 points; Rizespor are 13th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.