Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 11Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Corum Stadyumu
Çorum FK
7th · 16 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
Fenerbahçe
6th · 16 pts32% Çorum
21% Draw
46% Fenerbahçe
OUR PICK
Fenerbahçe to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.16
Expected goals
1.65 – 2.00
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.10X4.6522.16
Goals 2.5Over1.42Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.43NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.43
GG
70%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
Çorum FKFenerbahçe2.1Goals per game2.4
1.6Conceded per game1.0
1.60Points per game1.60
50%Win rate50%
5Goal difference14
9Form, last 5 (pts)9
Çorum FK form
WLWWLA Erzurumspor FK1–3
A Göztepe2–0
H Rizespor2–1
A Gaziantep FK0–3
H Alanyaspor1–2
Fenerbahçe form
LLDWLH Göztepe1–2
A Galatasaray2–1
H Slavia Praha2–2
H Alanyaspor3–0
A Aston Villa6–0
Head to head
0
Çorum
0
Draw
0
Fenerbahçe
These sides haven't met recently.
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Fenerbahçe slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.16 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.65 for Çorum FK, 2.00 for Fenerbahçe), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Çorum FK sit 7th on 16 points; Fenerbahçe are 6th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.