Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
SOUPremier Soccer League · Matchday 8Tuesday, 13 October 2026 · Ellis Park
Orlando Pirates
2nd · 25 pts3–0FULL TIME
TS Galaxy
12th · 7 pts77% Orlando
17% Draw
6% TS
OUR PICK
Orlando Pirates to win
Model probability 77% · fair odds
1.30
Expected goals
2.07 – 0.41
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.30X5.83216.19
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.82
Both scoreGG3.25NG1.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.82
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.42
NG
71%
Double chance@1.07
1X
94%
Season stats
Orlando PiratesTS Galaxy2.3Goals per game0.8
0.2Conceded per game1.3
2.78Points per game0.78
89%Win rate11%
19Goal difference-5
15Form, last 5 (pts)2
Orlando Pirates form
WWWWWH Kaizer Chiefs2–1
H Milford FC3–0
H African Stars4–0
A African Stars0–1
H TS Galaxy3–0
TS Galaxy form
DLLLLA Polokwane City0–0
A Kaizer Chiefs3–0
A Orlando Pirates3–0
H Chippa United0–1
H Kruger United0–1
Head to head
4
Orlando
1
Draw
0
TS
Oct 2026Orlando Pirates – TS Galaxy3–0
Mar 2026TS Galaxy – Orlando Pirates0–6
Sept 2025Orlando Pirates – TS Galaxy2–0
May 2025Orlando Pirates – TS Galaxy1–1
Oct 2024TS Galaxy – Orlando Pirates0–2
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10+1826
2Orlando Pirates9+1925
3Amazulu9+522
4Milford FC10+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9+414
6Sekhukhune United9014
7Chippa United9-111
8Stellenbosch9-110
9Kruger United9-610
10Golden Arrows9-28
Match preview
Our model makes Orlando Pirates clear favourites, giving them a 77% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.30 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (2.07 for Orlando Pirates, 0.41 for TS Galaxy), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Orlando Pirates sit 2nd on 25 points; TS Galaxy are 12th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.