Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 31Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Exploria Stadium
Orlando City SC
2–2FULL TIME
New York City FC
37% Orlando
22% Draw
41% New
OUR PICK
New York City FC to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.46
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.83
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.68X4.5422.46
Goals 2.5Over1.44Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.44NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.44
GG
69%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Orlando City SC form
LDDWDA Charlotte4–0
A Chicago Fire2–2
H New York City FC2–2
H DC United4–1
A Toronto FC3–3
New York City FC form
DWDDLH CF Montreal1–1
H Atlanta United FC2–1
A Orlando City SC2–2
H Los Angeles FC1–1
A Inter Miami2–0
Head to head
0
Orlando
2
Draw
3
New
Oct 2026Orlando City SC – New York City FC2–2
Mar 2026New York City FC – Orlando City SC5–0
Jul 2025Orlando City SC – New York City FC1–2
Mar 2025New York City FC – Orlando City SC2–1
Jul 2024Orlando City SC – New York City FC1–1
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders33-343
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Orlando City SC 37%, the draw 22%, New York City FC 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.75 for Orlando City SC, 1.83 for New York City FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.