Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
88%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 30Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Exploria Stadium
Orlando City SC
4–1FULL TIME
DC United
51% Orlando
21% Draw
28% DC
OUR PICK
Orlando City SC to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.97
Expected goals
2.14 – 1.57
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.97X4.8023.52
Goals 2.5Over1.40Under3.37
Both scoreGG1.43NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.40
Over 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.43
GG
70%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Orlando City SC form
LDDWDA Charlotte4–0
A Chicago Fire2–2
H New York City FC2–2
H DC United4–1
A Toronto FC3–3
DC United form
LLLLLA Columbus Crew3–0
A Toronto FC2–1
H FC Cincinnati0–2
A FC Cincinnati2–1
A Orlando City SC4–1
Head to head
0
Orlando
0
Draw
0
DC
These sides haven't met recently.
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders33-343
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model makes Orlando City SC slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.97 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (2.14 for Orlando City SC, 1.57 for DC United), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.