Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 28Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Exploria Stadium
Orlando City SC
3–2FULL TIME
Columbus Crew
35% Orlando
21% Draw
44% Columbus
OUR PICK
Columbus Crew to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
1.83 – 2.08
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.88X4.7922.25
Goals 2.5Over1.34Under3.77
Both scoreGG1.36NG3.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.34
Over 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.36
GG
73%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Orlando City SC form
LDDWDA Charlotte4–0
A Chicago Fire2–2
H New York City FC2–2
H DC United4–1
A Toronto FC3–3
Columbus Crew form
WWWDWH DC United3–0
A FC Dallas0–2
H Toronto FC4–2
H St. Louis City0–0
A FC Cincinnati0–2
Head to head
2
Orlando
2
Draw
1
Columbus
Oct 2026Orlando City SC – Columbus Crew3–2
Sept 2026Columbus Crew – Orlando City SC2–1
Apr 2026Columbus Crew – Orlando City SC1–1
Oct 2025Orlando City SC – Columbus Crew1–1
Jul 2025Columbus Crew – Orlando City SC1–3
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders33-343
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Orlando City SC 35%, the draw 21%, Columbus Crew 44%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (1.83 for Orlando City SC, 2.08 for Columbus Crew), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.