Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 26Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Gamla Ullevi
Orgryte IS
15th · 19 pts1–2FULL TIME
Mjallby AIF
12th · 26 pts40% Orgryte
24% Draw
36% Mjallby
OUR PICK
Orgryte IS to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.51
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.53
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.51X4.2222.74
Goals 2.5Over1.65Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.60NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.60
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Orgryte ISMjallby AIF1.2Goals per game1.2
2.2Conceded per game1.7
0.70Points per game1.00
15%Win rate23%
-27Goal difference-13
4Form, last 5 (pts)4
Orgryte IS form
LLDWLA IF Elfsborg2–1
H Mjallby AIF1–2
A Djurgardens IF2–2
H Gais4–2
A BK Hacken3–0
Mjallby AIF form
WLDLWA Orgryte IS1–2
H Hammarby FF0–2
A FC Iberia 19991–1
A Vasteras SK FK1–0
H Inter Club d'Escaldes2–0
Head to head
1
Orgryte
1
Draw
3
Mjallby
Oct 2026Orgryte IS – Mjallby AIF1–2
Apr 2026Mjallby AIF – Orgryte IS0–2
Feb 2026Orgryte IS – Mjallby AIF0–3
Aug 2019Orgryte IS – Mjallby AIF1–1
May 2019Mjallby AIF – Orgryte IS2–1
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Orgryte IS 40%, the draw 24%, Mjallby AIF 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.61 for Orgryte IS, 1.53 for Mjallby AIF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Orgryte IS sit 15th on 19 points; Mjallby AIF are 12th on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.