Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 26Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Behrn Arena
Orebro SK
13th · 29 pts1–1FULL TIME
Ljungskile SK
11th · 34 pts36% Orebro
27% Draw
37% Ljungskile
OUR PICK
Ljungskile SK to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.70
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.26
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.78X3.7022.70
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.84
Both scoreGG1.96NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.96
GG
51%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Orebro SKLjungskile SK1.1Goals per game1.3
1.5Conceded per game1.4
1.04Points per game1.17
21%Win rate28%
-11Goal difference-1
6Form, last 5 (pts)6
Orebro SK form
WDDDLH Falkenbergs FF1–0
A IFK Norrkoping2–2
H Ljungskile SK1–1
H United Nordic1–1
A Sandviken4–2
Ljungskile SK form
DDWDLA Varbergs BoIS FC2–2
A Helsingborg1–1
H IK brage2–0
A Orebro SK1–1
A GIF Sundsvall3–2
Head to head
0
Orebro
1
Draw
1
Ljungskile
Oct 2026Orebro SK – Ljungskile SK1–1
Jun 2026Ljungskile SK – Orebro SK3–2
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Varbergs BoIS FC29+1148
4Ostersunds FK29+948
5Oddevold29+1245
6Landskrona BoIS28+1344
7Osters IF28+142
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Orebro SK 36%, the draw 27%, Ljungskile SK 37%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.70 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.24 for Orebro SK, 1.26 for Ljungskile SK), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Orebro SK sit 13th on 29 points; Ljungskile SK are 11th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.