Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
BRASerie B · Matchday 37Friday, 6 November 2026 · Estadio Germano Kruger
Operario-PR
11th · 51 pts23:30KICK-OFF WAT
Sport Recife
8th · 55 pts37% Operario-PR
26% Draw
37% Sport
OUR PICK
Sport Recife to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.71
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.32
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.71X3.8222.71
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.86
GG
54%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
Operario-PRSport Recife1.3Goals per game1.3
1.3Conceded per game1.1
1.42Points per game1.53
39%Win rate39%
-2Goal difference9
3Form, last 5 (pts)8
Operario-PR form
LWLLLA Novorizontino2–1
H Athletic Club1–0
A America Mineiro1–0
H Goias0–2
H Botafogo SP1–2
Sport Recife form
DWLDWA Botafogo SP1–1
H Criciuma2–1
H Fortaleza EC0–2
A Atletico Goianiense1–1
H São Bernardo2–1
Head to head
2
Operario-PR
2
Draw
1
Sport
Jul 2026Sport Recife – Operario-PR2–2
Nov 2024Operario-PR – Sport Recife2–1
Oct 2024Sport Recife – Operario-PR1–2
Oct 2022Sport Recife – Operario-PR5–1
Jul 2022Operario-PR – Sport Recife0–0
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC36+1262
6CRB36+355
7Goias36-355
8Sport Recife36+955
9Atletico Goianiense36+955
10São Bernardo36+1152
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Operario-PR 37%, the draw 26%, Sport Recife 37%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.32 for Operario-PR, 1.32 for Sport Recife), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Operario-PR sit 11th on 51 points; Sport Recife are 8th on 55.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.