Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
BRASerie B · Matchday 33Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Estadio Germano Kruger
Operario-PR
11th · 51 pts0–2FULL TIME
Goias
7th · 55 pts47% Operario-PR
26% Draw
27% Goias
OUR PICK
Operario-PR to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.03
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.13X3.8023.75
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.83
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.83
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.97
NG
51%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Operario-PRGoias1.3Goals per game1.1
1.3Conceded per game1.1
1.42Points per game1.53
39%Win rate44%
-2Goal difference-3
3Form, last 5 (pts)13
Operario-PR form
LWLLLA Novorizontino2–1
H Athletic Club1–0
A America Mineiro1–0
H Goias0–2
H Botafogo SP1–2
Goias form
WWDWWH CRB2–1
A Ceara0–2
H Nautico Recife0–0
A Operario-PR0–2
H Athletic Club2–1
Head to head
1
Operario-PR
0
Draw
4
Goias
Oct 2026Operario-PR – Goias0–2
Jun 2026Goias – Operario-PR0–3
Aug 2025Goias – Operario-PR2–1
Apr 2025Operario-PR – Goias1–2
Oct 2024Goias – Operario-PR3–0
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC36+1262
6CRB36+355
7Goias36-355
8Sport Recife36+955
9Atletico Goianiense36+955
10São Bernardo36+1152
Match preview
Our model makes Operario-PR slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.46 for Operario-PR, 1.03 for Goias), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Operario-PR sit 11th on 51 points; Goias are 7th on 55.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.