Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
BRASerie B · Matchday 32Wednesday, 7 October 2026 · Estadio Germano Kruger
Operario-PR
11th · 51 pts1–2FULL TIME
Botafogo SP
12th · 48 pts42% Operario-PR
27% Draw
31% Botafogo
OUR PICK
Operario-PR to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.38
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.11
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.38X3.6923.23
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.80
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.98
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
51%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Operario-PRBotafogo SP1.3Goals per game1.1
1.3Conceded per game1.1
1.42Points per game1.33
39%Win rate36%
-2Goal difference2
3Form, last 5 (pts)13
Operario-PR form
LWLLLA Novorizontino2–1
H Athletic Club1–0
A America Mineiro1–0
H Goias0–2
H Botafogo SP1–2
Botafogo SP form
DWWWWH Sport Recife1–1
A Avai0–2
A CRB0–1
H Ceara1–0
A Operario-PR1–2
Head to head
1
Operario-PR
2
Draw
2
Botafogo
Oct 2026Operario-PR – Botafogo SP1–2
Jun 2026Botafogo SP – Operario-PR2–1
Sept 2025Botafogo SP – Operario-PR1–1
May 2025Operario-PR – Botafogo SP3–0
Oct 2024Botafogo SP – Operario-PR0–0
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC36+1262
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense36+955
9Goias35-452
10São Bernardo36+1152
Match preview
Our model makes Operario-PR slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.34 for Operario-PR, 1.11 for Botafogo SP), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Operario-PR sit 11th on 51 points; Botafogo SP are 12th on 48.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.