Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 18Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Estadio Palogrande
Once Caldas
5th · 33 pts22:05KICK-OFF WAT
Águilas Doradas
12th · 26 pts59% Once
23% Draw
18% Águilas
OUR PICK
Once Caldas to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
1.82 – 0.91
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.70X4.4025.41
Goals 2.5Over1.95Under1.93
Both scoreGG2.00NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@2.00
GG
50%
Double chance@1.23
1X
82%
Season stats
Once CaldasÁguilas Doradas1.6Goals per game1.1
1.2Conceded per game1.3
1.74Points per game1.37
42%Win rate37%
9Goal difference-5
11Form, last 5 (pts)8
Once Caldas form
WWDDWA Santa Fe0–2
H Alianza Valledupar1–0
H Deportivo Pereira1–1
A Millonarios1–1
A Independiente Medellin0–2
Águilas Doradas form
WLWDDA Cucuta0–2
A Junior1–0
H Deportes Tolima2–1
A Bucaramanga1–1
A Alianza Valledupar2–2
Head to head
2
Once
2
Draw
1
Águilas
Apr 2026Águilas Doradas – Once Caldas2–2
Aug 2025Once Caldas – Águilas Doradas1–1
Feb 2025Águilas Doradas – Once Caldas0–1
Jul 2024Once Caldas – Águilas Doradas1–0
Jan 2024Águilas Doradas – Once Caldas1–0
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Once Caldas clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.70 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.82 for Once Caldas, 0.91 for Águilas Doradas), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Once Caldas sit 5th on 33 points; Águilas Doradas are 12th on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.