Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 13Saturday, 24 October 2026 · NACK5 Stadium Omiya
Omiya Ardija
5th · 24 pts2–2FULL TIME
Yokohama FC
4th · 25 pts43% Omiya
24% Draw
33% Yokohama
OUR PICK
Omiya Ardija to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.35
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.42
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.35X4.1822.99
Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.64NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.64
GG
61%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Omiya ArdijaYokohama FC1.8Goals per game1.9
1.2Conceded per game1.1
1.71Points per game1.79
43%Win rate50%
8Goal difference10
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Omiya Ardija form
WDLLWA Vegalta Sendai1–2
H Yokohama FC2–2
H Kataller Toyama0–3
A Sagan Tosu2–1
H Vanraure Hachinohe3–1
Yokohama FC form
WDWDLA Tokushima Vortis0–1
A Omiya Ardija2–2
A Ventforet Kofu0–3
A Tochigi City1–1
H Urawa0–4
Head to head
1
Omiya
2
Draw
2
Yokohama
Oct 2026Omiya Ardija – Yokohama FC2–2
May 2026Yokohama FC – Omiya Ardija2–1
Aug 2022Omiya Ardija – Yokohama FC3–2
Feb 2022Yokohama FC – Omiya Ardija3–2
Sept 2019Yokohama FC – Omiya Ardija0–0
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Omiya Ardija slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.35 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.63 for Omiya Ardija, 1.42 for Yokohama FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Omiya Ardija sit 5th on 24 points; Yokohama FC are 4th on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.