Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · NACK5 Stadium Omiya
Omiya Ardija
5th · 24 pts3–1FULL TIME
Vanraure Hachinohe
17th · 14 pts69% Omiya
19% Draw
12% Vanraure
OUR PICK
Omiya Ardija to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.45
Expected goals
2.15 – 0.77
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.45X5.3228.25
Goals 2.5Over1.79Under2.14
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.90
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.90
NG
53%
Double chance@1.14
1X
88%
Season stats
Omiya ArdijaVanraure Hachinohe1.8Goals per game0.8
1.2Conceded per game1.7
1.71Points per game1.00
43%Win rate29%
8Goal difference-13
7Form, last 5 (pts)4
Omiya Ardija form
WDLLWA Vegalta Sendai1–2
H Yokohama FC2–2
H Kataller Toyama0–3
A Sagan Tosu2–1
H Vanraure Hachinohe3–1
Vanraure Hachinohe form
LLWDLH Montedio Yamagata1–2
A Sagan Tosu2–0
A Tokushima Vortis0–1
A Imabari3–3
A Omiya Ardija3–1
Head to head
0
Omiya
0
Draw
0
Vanraure
These sides haven't met recently.
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Omiya Ardija clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (2.15 for Omiya Ardija, 0.77 for Vanraure Hachinohe), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Omiya Ardija sit 5th on 24 points; Vanraure Hachinohe are 17th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.