Over 1.5 goals@1.66
Over 1.5
60%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 6Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Karaiskakis Stadium
Olympiakos Piraeus
2nd · 22 pts1–0FULL TIME
Panathinaikos
1st · 24 pts31% Olympiakos
30% Draw
39% Panathinaikos
OUR PICK
Panathinaikos to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.59
Expected goals
0.94 – 1.09
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.24X3.2822.59
Goals 2.5Over2.86Under1.50
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.68
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.50
Under 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.68
NG
60%
Double chance@1.44
12
70%
Season stats
Olympiakos PiraeusPanathinaikos1.7Goals per game2.2
0.4Conceded per game0.4
2.44Points per game2.67
78%Win rate89%
11Goal difference16
15Form, last 5 (pts)12
Olympiakos Piraeus form
WWWWWA Kifisia2–3
A Marko0–2
H Kalamata5–0
H Sparta Praha1–0
A Panetolikos0–2
Panathinaikos form
WWWWWH AEK Athens FC2–0
H Aris Thessalonikis2–1
A Volos NFC0–1
A Kairat Almaty1–5
H Asteras Tripolis5–1
Head to head
0
Olympiakos
0
Draw
0
Panathinaikos
These sides haven't met recently.
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos9+1624
2Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
3PAOK9+618
4AEK Athens FC8+1617
5Aris Thessalonikis9-416
6OFI9+216
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos9-99
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Olympiakos Piraeus 31%, the draw 30%, Panathinaikos 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (0.94 for Olympiakos Piraeus, 1.09 for Panathinaikos), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Olympiakos Piraeus sit 2nd on 22 points; Panathinaikos are 1st on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.