Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 8Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Karaiskakis Stadium
Olympiakos Piraeus
2nd · 22 pts5–0FULL TIME
Kalamata
8th · 10 pts57% Olympiakos
24% Draw
19% Kalamata
OUR PICK
Olympiakos Piraeus to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.77
Expected goals
1.67 – 0.86
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.77X4.1325.20
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.88
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.88
NG
53%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Season stats
Olympiakos PiraeusKalamata1.7Goals per game1.6
0.4Conceded per game2.1
2.44Points per game1.25
78%Win rate38%
11Goal difference-4
15Form, last 5 (pts)9
Olympiakos Piraeus form
WWWWWA Kifisia2–3
A Marko0–2
H Kalamata5–0
H Sparta Praha1–0
A Panetolikos0–2
Kalamata form
WLWWLA Nestos Chrisoupolis0–2
A Olympiakos Piraeus5–0
H OFI4–3
A PAOK1–3
H Panathinaikos0–1
Head to head
3
Olympiakos
0
Draw
0
Kalamata
Oct 2026Olympiakos Piraeus – Kalamata5–0
Jan 2020Olympiakos Piraeus – Kalamata4–1
Jan 2020Kalamata – Olympiakos Piraeus0–2
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos9+1624
2Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
3PAOK9+618
4AEK Athens FC8+1617
5Aris Thessalonikis9-416
6OFI9+216
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos9-99
Match preview
Our model makes Olympiakos Piraeus clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.77 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.67 for Olympiakos Piraeus, 0.86 for Kalamata), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Olympiakos Piraeus sit 2nd on 22 points; Kalamata are 8th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.