Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
ENGLeague Two · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Boundary Park
Oldham
21st · 12 pts0–1FULL TIME
Crawley Town
24th · 9 pts48% Oldham
25% Draw
27% Crawley
OUR PICK
Oldham to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.08
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.09
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.08X3.9623.77
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.98
Both scoreGG1.91NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.91
GG
52%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
OldhamCrawley Town1.1Goals per game1.1
1.5Conceded per game1.8
0.92Points per game0.75
23%Win rate17%
-5Goal difference-8
5Form, last 5 (pts)5
Oldham form
No recent matches.
Crawley Town form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Oldham
0
Draw
0
Crawley
These sides haven't met recently.
League Two table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Salford City14+1031
2Barnet13+1026
3Walsall13+922
4Crewe14022
5Cheltenham14-221
6Grimsby14+620
7York14+320
8Gillingham14+120
9Accrington ST14+619
10Chesterfield14+319
Match preview
Our model makes Oldham slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.08 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.56 for Oldham, 1.09 for Crawley Town), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Oldham sit 21st on 12 points; Crawley Town are 24th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.