Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 13Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Resonac Dome Oita
Oita Trinita
10th · 19 pts1–1FULL TIME
Ventforet Kofu
20th · 12 pts72% Oita
19% Draw
9% Ventforet
OUR PICK
Oita Trinita to win
Model probability 72% · fair odds
1.39
Expected goals
2.06 – 0.59
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.39X5.36210.56
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.64
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.64
NG
61%
Double chance@1.10
1X
91%
Season stats
Oita TrinitaVentforet Kofu1.2Goals per game0.8
0.9Conceded per game2.0
1.36Points per game0.86
29%Win rate21%
5Goal difference-17
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
Oita Trinita form
LDDWWA Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–0
H Ventforet Kofu1–1
A Jubilo Iwata0–0
H Albirex Niigata5–1
A Yokohama FC1–2
Ventforet Kofu form
DDLLWA Imabari1–1
A Oita Trinita1–1
H Yokohama FC0–3
A Iwaki5–0
H Tochigi City2–1
Head to head
2
Oita
2
Draw
1
Ventforet
Oct 2026Oita Trinita – Ventforet Kofu1–1
Aug 2025Ventforet Kofu – Oita Trinita2–0
May 2025Oita Trinita – Ventforet Kofu2–1
Jun 2024Oita Trinita – Ventforet Kofu0–0
May 2024Ventforet Kofu – Oita Trinita1–2
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Oita Trinita clear favourites, giving them a 72% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.39 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (2.06 for Oita Trinita, 0.59 for Ventforet Kofu), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Oita Trinita sit 10th on 19 points; Ventforet Kofu are 20th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.