Over 1.5 goals@1.58
Over 1.5
63%
BELJupiler Pro League · Matchday 9Saturday, 24 October 2026 · The King Power AT Den Dreef Stadium
OH Leuven
13th · 9 pts2–2FULL TIME
Lommel United
7th · 15 pts28% OH
29% Draw
43% Lommel
OUR PICK
Lommel United to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.31
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.23
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.62X3.4422.31
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.57
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.74
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.74
NG
57%
Double chance@1.38
X2
72%
Season stats
OH LeuvenLommel United1.0Goals per game1.3
1.7Conceded per game1.1
0.90Points per game1.50
20%Win rate40%
-7Goal difference2
9Form, last 5 (pts)8
OH Leuven form
WDWDWA St. Truiden1–2
H Lommel United2–2
H Francs Borains1–0
A Union St. Gilloise1–1
H RAAL La Louvière2–0
Lommel United form
WDLWWH Gent2–0
A OH Leuven2–2
A St. Truiden4–1
A SK Beveren1–3
A Diksmuide0–2
Head to head
3
OH
1
Draw
1
Lommel
Oct 2026OH Leuven – Lommel United2–2
Jul 2026OH Leuven – Lommel United5–1
Feb 2020OH Leuven – Lommel United3–0
Dec 2019Lommel United – OH Leuven3–2
Oct 2019Lommel United – OH Leuven0–2
Jupiler Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club Brugge KV10+1827
2Union St. Gilloise10+2226
3Gent10+1325
4Charleroi10+924
5Anderlecht10+219
6Genk10+415
7Lommel United10+215
8KVC Westerlo10014
9Standard Liege10-112
10Zulte Waregem10-411
Match preview
Our model makes Lommel United slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (0.92 for OH Leuven, 1.23 for Lommel United), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
OH Leuven sit 13th on 9 points; Lommel United are 7th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.