Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
GRESuper League 1 · Matchday 8Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Theodoros Vardinogiannis Stadium
OFI
6th · 16 pts2–1FULL TIME
PAOK
3rd · 18 pts35% OFI
23% Draw
41% PAOK
OUR PICK
PAOK to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.42
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.67
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.83X4.2822.42
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.57NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.57
GG
64%
Double chance@1.31
12
77%
Season stats
OFIPAOK1.6Goals per game2.0
1.3Conceded per game1.3
1.78Points per game2.00
56%Win rate67%
2Goal difference6
7Form, last 5 (pts)9
OFI form
WLWLLA Panetolikos0–1
A Larisa1–0
H PAOK2–1
H Bayer Leverkusen0–2
A Kalamata4–3
PAOK form
WWLWLH Asteras Tripolis2–1
H AEK Athens FC3–1
A OFI2–1
H Iraklis 19082–1
H Kalamata1–3
Head to head
2
OFI
1
Draw
2
PAOK
Oct 2026OFI – PAOK2–1
Sept 2026PAOK – OFI0–0
Apr 2026PAOK – OFI2–3
Jan 2026PAOK – OFI3–0
Sept 2025OFI – PAOK1–2
Super League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos9+1624
2Olympiakos Piraeus9+1122
3PAOK9+618
4AEK Athens FC8+1617
5Aris Thessalonikis9-416
6OFI9+216
7Kifisia9-211
8Kalamata8-410
9Iraklis 19088-29
10Panetolikos9-99
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: OFI 35%, the draw 23%, PAOK 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.42 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.53 for OFI, 1.67 for PAOK), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
OFI sit 6th on 16 points; PAOK are 3rd on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.